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"Longevity": Megatrend longevity as an underestimated blind spot

Bad Homburg, 3/3/2022
by FERI Cognitive Finance Institute
  • Demographic structural break has far-reaching consequences for all areas of life
  • Challenges and opportunities for business, society and capital markets
  • FERI Cognitive Finance Institute analyzes the complex consequences of longevity

More and more people, especially in industrialized countries, are reaching old age in mostly good health. This is massively changing the demographic structure of Western societies. The consequences are far-reaching, as the so-called "longevity phenomenon" radiates into almost all areas of life. The FERI Cognitive Finance Institute has published a current Cognitive Comment on this topic entitled "Longevity: Megatrend Longevity - The Complex Impacts and Consequences of Rising Life Expectancy." "That innovative capacity and dynamism tend to decline in aging societies, while at the same time burdens on social systems increase sharply, is obvious. But the implications of the longevity phenomenon for the future are far greater and more complex," says Dr. Heinz-Werner Rapp, founder and director of the FERI Cognitive Finance Institute.

The longevity phenomenon as a "blind spot".

Due to its complexity, the longevity phenomenon is still severely underestimated or ignored on many levels, he adds. Consequently, the topic ranks as a typical "blind spot" in the public perception. Since there are no historical models for the new reality of an increasingly aging society, future developments are associated with numerous uncertainties. Nevertheless, strong trends and scenarios can already be identified today. These ranged from increased fragility of state social systems to questions of political participation and intergenerational justice to ethical aspects of "artificial" life extension. "In the demographic structural break defined by longevity lie great social and economic challenges, but also many opportunities. The topic must therefore always be considered in its entirety - with all the potential repercussions for other future topics," says Rapp.

Age-related innovations create new markets

Exciting future prospects are opening up above all from a medical and technical perspective. Here, for example, anti-aging approaches using genetics as well as new types of aids (avatars) using robotics, artificial intelligence and other innovative technologies are to be expected. In areas such as telecommunications, medicine, automotive technology and tourism, numerous developments can already be identified that are aimed at specific products and services for older people. According to the analysis, the longevity megatrend will have a strong impact on the economy, politics and society in the future. Long-term trends on the capital markets would also be determined by demographic factors. "The potential impact of the longevity phenomenon on all areas of life is still massively underestimated. Investors and asset owners should purposefully penetrate the blind spot and by no means ignore this topic," Rapp said. The FERI Cognitive Finance Institute will continuously monitor the most important topics in the longevity context and analyze the key drivers of the development, he added.

The analysis "„Longevity“: Megatrend Langlebigkeit - Die komplexen Auswirkungen und Konsequenzen steigender Lebenserwartung" has been published by the FERI Cognitive Finance Institute as "Cognitive Comment". It is available in German in the download area.


About FERI Cognitive Finance Institute

FERI Cognitive Finance Institute is the strategic research centre and creative think tank of the FERI Group, with a clear focus on innovative analysis and method development for long-term aspects of economic and capital market research. The institute uses the latest findings from areas such as behavioural economics, complexity theory and cognitive science.

The FERI Cognitive Finance Institute is backed by an experienced team with an interdisciplinary academic background, many years of research practice and specific expertise. In addition, it has access to a powerful network of external experts.

The Institute was founded in 2016. Rapp studied economics at the University of Mannheim and received his doctorate on psychologically influenced investor behaviour ("Behavioral Finance"). He has worked on alternative capital market models for many years and has recently developed key principles of the new "Cognitive Finance" theory.

FERI has operated as an independent investment house since 1987, with a focus on investment research, investment management and investment consulting. The name FERI stands for "Financial & Economic Research International".



Media relations contact

FERI Cognitive Finance Institute

T +49 (0) 6172 916-3631

info@feri-institut.de

Rathausplatz 8 - 10

D-61348 Bad Homburg